1
14%
Home Win
6.98
X
45%
Draw
2.21
2
40%
Away Win
2.48
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
0.69
Over 2.5 Goals
8%
BTTS
13%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives France an expected 0.3 goals and Spain an expected 0.7 goals. France have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 45%, and Spain at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 92%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
37.2%
0:1
25.6%
1:0
11.2%
0:2
8.8%
1:1
7.7%
1:2
2.6%
0:3
2%
2:0
1.7%
2:1
1.2%
1:3
0.6%
2:2
0.4%
0:4
0.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Spain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| France | Spain | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 100% | Win % | 67% |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0 |
Head to Head
Spain
5 : 4
France
L
Spain
2 : 1
France
L
Spain
1 : 2
France
W
