1
14%
Home Win
7.01
X
15%
Draw
6.54
2
70%
Away Win
1.43
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
2.89
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
BTTS
68%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Norway an expected 1.3 goals and England an expected 2.9 goals. Norway have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and England at 70%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 78%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8.2%
1:3
7.9%
0:2
6.4%
0:3
6.2%
1:4
5.8%
1:1
5.7%
2:2
5.3%
2:3
5.1%
0:4
4.5%
0:1
4.4%
2:4
3.7%
2:1
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | England Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| Norway | England | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
