1
72%
Home Win
1.39
X
19%
Draw
5.14
2
8%
Away Win
12.02
xG Home
1.93
xG Away
0.48
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Argentina an expected 1.9 goals and Switzerland an expected 0.5 goals. Argentina have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Switzerland at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.3%
2:0
16.7%
3:0
10.7%
0:0
9%
1:1
8.3%
2:1
8%
3:1
5.2%
4:0
5.2%
0:1
4.3%
4:1
2.5%
1:2
2%
2:2
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Argentina Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| Argentina | Switzerland | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 100% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
