1
72%
Home Win
1.38
X
17%
Draw
6.01
2
11%
Away Win
9.12
xG Home
2.41
xG Away
0.83
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives France an expected 2.4 goals and Morocco an expected 0.8 goals. France have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Morocco at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.4%
1:0
9.5%
2:1
9.4%
3:0
9.2%
1:1
7.8%
3:1
7.6%
4:0
5.5%
4:1
4.6%
0:0
3.9%
2:2
3.9%
0:1
3.2%
1:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | France Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| France | Morocco | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 100% | Win % | 67% |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
