1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.59
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fiorentina an expected 1.6 goals and Torino an expected 1.2 goals. Fiorentina have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Torino at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
10.1%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
8.1%
0:1
7.4%
1:2
6.8%
0:0
6.4%
2:2
5.5%
3:1
5%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
4.3%
3:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fiorentina Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Fiorentina | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 12 |
| 42 | Points | 45 |
| 24% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.66 |
Venue Form
Fiorentina at Home
W1
D4
L1
(6 games)
Torino Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Fiorentina
D
L
D
D
D
Torino
W
L
D
W
