1
59%
Home Win
1.7
X
22%
Draw
4.55
2
19%
Away Win
5.23
xG Home
1.91
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Twente an expected 1.9 goals and Telstar an expected 1.0 goals. FC Twente have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Telstar at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
10.5%
1:1
10.4%
2:0
10.1%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
6.4%
3:1
6.3%
0:0
5.5%
0:1
5.5%
1:2
5.1%
2:2
4.9%
3:2
3.1%
4:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Twente Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| FC Twente | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 14 |
| 58 | Points | 37 |
| 44% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
FC Twente at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Telstar Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Twente
W
D
Telstar
D
