1
68%
Home Win
1.47
X
19%
Draw
5.28
2
13%
Away Win
7.82
xG Home
2.15
xG Away
0.81
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Twente an expected 2.2 goals and Sparta Rotterdam an expected 0.8 goals. FC Twente have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Sparta Rotterdam at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12%
1:0
11.2%
2:1
9.7%
1:1
9%
3:0
8.6%
3:1
7%
0:0
5.2%
4:0
4.6%
0:1
4.2%
2:2
3.9%
4:1
3.7%
1:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Twente Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| FC Twente | Sparta Rotterdam | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 10 |
| 58 | Points | 43 |
| 44% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.82 |
Venue Form
FC Twente at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Sparta Rotterdam Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Twente
W
W
D
Sparta Rotterdam
L
L
