1
44%
Home Win
2.27
X
26%
Draw
3.81
2
30%
Away Win
3.36
xG Home
1.43
xG Away
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Tokyo an expected 1.4 goals and Nagoya Grampus an expected 1.1 goals. FC Tokyo have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Nagoya Grampus at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
11%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
8.7%
2:0
7.9%
0:0
7.7%
1:2
7.1%
2:2
5.1%
0:2
4.9%
3:1
4.3%
3:0
3.8%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Tokyo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| FC Tokyo | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 16 |
| 50 | Points | 43 |
| 34% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
FC Tokyo at Home
W4
D0
L2
(6 games)
Nagoya Grampus Away
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
FC Tokyo
W
L
W
L
W
Nagoya Grampus
L
L
W
W
L
