1
27%
Home Win
3.67
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
45%
Away Win
2.22
xG Home
0.97
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Tokyo an expected 1.0 goals and Machida Zelvia an expected 1.3 goals. FC Tokyo have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Machida Zelvia at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.3%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
10%
1:0
9.7%
0:2
8.9%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
6.3%
2:0
4.7%
2:2
4.2%
0:3
3.9%
1:3
3.8%
3:1
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Machida Zelvia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 6 |
| 50 | Points | 60 |
| 34% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
FC Tokyo at Home
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Machida Zelvia Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Tokyo
L
W
L
W
W
Machida Zelvia
D
W
Head to Head
FC Tokyo
0 : 0
Machida Zelvia
D
Machida Zelvia
0 : 3
FC Tokyo
W
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
FC Tokyo
L
