1
62%
Home Win
1.62
X
23%
Draw
4.36
2
15%
Away Win
6.49
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Seoul an expected 1.8 goals and Incheon United an expected 0.7 goals. FC Seoul have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Incheon United at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.3%
2:0
12.6%
1:1
10.7%
2:1
9.4%
0:0
8.1%
3:0
7.4%
0:1
6.1%
3:1
5.5%
1:2
4%
2:2
3.5%
4:0
3.3%
4:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Seoul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| FC Seoul | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 7 |
| 42 | Points | 27 |
| 68% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
FC Seoul at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Incheon United Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Seoul
W
D
W
Incheon United
W
L
