1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Seoul an expected 1.7 goals and Incheon United an expected 0.8 goals. FC Seoul have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Incheon United at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.4%
1:1
11.3%
2:0
11.3%
2:1
9.6%
0:0
7.9%
0:1
6.7%
3:0
6.4%
3:1
5.4%
1:2
4.8%
2:2
4%
0:2
2.8%
4:0
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Seoul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| FC Seoul | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 6 |
| 67 | Points | 46 |
| 61% | Win % | 36% |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
FC Seoul at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Incheon United Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
FC Seoul
D
W
W
D
W
Incheon United
D
L
L
W
L
