1
80%
Home Win
1.25
X
15%
Draw
6.68
2
5%
Away Win
19.53
xG Home
2.25
xG Away
0.40
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
29%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Porto an expected 2.3 goals and Moreirense an expected 0.4 goals. FC Porto have a 80% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and Moreirense at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
17.9%
1:0
15.9%
3:0
13.5%
4:0
7.6%
2:1
7.1%
0:0
7.1%
1:1
6.3%
3:1
5.4%
4:1
3%
0:1
2.8%
2:2
1.4%
1:2
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Porto Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 80% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.25 |
| Market Odds | 1.33 |
Team Comparison
| FC Porto | Moreirense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 7 |
| 88 | Points | 43 |
| 82% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 0.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
FC Porto at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Moreirense Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Porto
W
W
W
Moreirense
L
L
