1
42%
Home Win
2.4
X
25%
Draw
3.98
2
33%
Away Win
3.02
xG Home
1.50
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Koln an expected 1.5 goals and Borussia Mönchengladbach an expected 1.3 goals. FC Koln have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
9%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
7.9%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
6.8%
0:0
6%
2:2
5.8%
0:2
5.2%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
3.4%
1:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Koln Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| FC Koln | Borussia Mönchengladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 12 |
| 32 | Points | 38 |
| 21% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
FC Koln at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Borussia Mönchengladbach Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
FC Koln
D
L
L
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L
L
D
L
