1
26%
Home Win
3.92
X
23%
Draw
4.3
2
51%
Away Win
1.95
xG Home
1.19
xG Away
1.78
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FSV Mainz 05 an expected 1.2 goals and Bayer Leverkusen an expected 1.8 goals. FSV Mainz 05 have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Bayer Leverkusen at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
1:2
9.7%
0:1
9.1%
0:2
8.1%
2:1
6.5%
1:0
6.1%
2:2
5.8%
1:3
5.8%
0:0
5.1%
0:3
4.8%
2:0
3.6%
2:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayer Leverkusen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| FSV Mainz 05 | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 6 |
| 40 | Points | 59 |
| 29% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
FSV Mainz 05 at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Bayer Leverkusen Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
FSV Mainz 05
L
L
L
Bayer Leverkusen
D
L
W
D
