1
5%
Home Win
18.87
X
9%
Draw
11.48
2
85%
Away Win
1.18
xG Home
0.94
xG Away
3.68
Over 2.5 Goals
83%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Augsburg an expected 0.9 goals and Bayern Munich an expected 3.7 goals. FC Augsburg have a 5% win probability, draw stands at 9%, and Bayern Munich at 85%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 83%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:3
8.2%
1:3
7.7%
0:4
7.6%
1:4
7.1%
0:2
6.7%
1:2
6.3%
0:1
3.6%
2:3
3.6%
1:1
3.4%
2:4
3.3%
2:2
2.9%
2:1
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayern Munich Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 85% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.18 |
| Market Odds | 1.25 |
Team Comparison
| FC Augsburg | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 1 |
| 43 | Points | 89 |
| 35% | Win % | 82% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.59 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
FC Augsburg at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Bayern Munich Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
FC Augsburg
D
W
D
Bayern Munich
W
D
W
W