FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction

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0 – 3
Most Likely Score
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga
1 5%
Home Win 18.87
X 9%
Draw 11.48
2 85%
Away Win 1.18
xG Home 0.94
xG Away 3.68
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
BTTS 58%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Augsburg an expected 0.9 goals and Bayern Munich an expected 3.7 goals. FC Augsburg have a 5% win probability, draw stands at 9%, and Bayern Munich at 85%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 83%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:3 8.2%
1:3 7.7%
0:4 7.6%
1:4 7.1%
0:2 6.7%
1:2 6.3%
0:1 3.6%
2:3 3.6%
1:1 3.4%
2:4 3.3%
2:2 2.9%
2:1 1.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Bayern Munich Win
Probability 85%
Predicted Odds 1.18
Market Odds 1.25

Team Comparison

FC Augsburg Bayern Munich
9 League Position 1
43 Points 89
35% Win % 82%
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 3.59
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06

Venue Form

FC Augsburg at Home
W1 D2 L0 (3 games)
33% win rate
Bayern Munich Away
W3 D1 L0 (4 games)
75% win rate

Recent Form

FC Augsburg
D W D
Bayern Munich
W D W W