1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV Prediction

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2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga
1 60%
Home Win 1.66
X 21%
Draw 4.76
2 19%
Away Win 5.39
xG Home 2.03
xG Away 1.03
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives 1899 Hoffenheim an expected 2.0 goals and Hamburger SV an expected 1.0 goals. 1899 Hoffenheim have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Hamburger SV at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 10%
1:1 9.8%
2:0 9.7%
1:0 9.5%
3:1 6.7%
3:0 6.5%
2:2 5.1%
1:2 5.1%
0:1 4.8%
0:0 4.7%
3:2 3.5%
4:1 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick 1899 Hoffenheim Win
Probability 60%
Predicted Odds 1.67
Market Odds 1.77

Team Comparison

1899 Hoffenheim Hamburger SV
5 League Position 13
61 Points 38
53% Win % 26%
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59

Venue Form

1899 Hoffenheim at Home
W3 D1 L2 (6 games)
50% win rate
Hamburger SV Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

1899 Hoffenheim
W L W D W
Hamburger SV
L W L