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FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen — Prediction

FC Koln FC Koln
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Bundesliga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

FC Koln
  • Union Berlin 1–1 FC Koln
  • FC Koln 0–0 FC Schalke 04
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 FC Koln
  • FC Koln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • Hamburger SV 2–1 FC Koln
Bayer Leverkusen
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
  • Bayer Leverkusen 5–2 FC Nurnberg
  • 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 Bayer Leverkusen
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: FC Koln 8 · Bayer Leverkusen 8. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Bayer Leverkusen 56% · 2026-11-07 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.39
Model goal expectation · 2 1.79
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 62%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: FC Koln 1.39 · Bayer Leverkusen 1.79.
1 30% · X 23% · 2 47%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.4%
1:2 9.3%
0:1 7.5%
2:1 7.2%
0:2 6.7%
2:2 6.4%
1:0 5.8%
1:3 5.5%
0:0 4.2%
2:0 4%
0:3 4%
2:3 3.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome Bayer Leverkusen Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

FC Koln Bayer Leverkusen
13 League Position 6
9 Points 13
25% Win % 50%
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2

Venue Form

FC Koln at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Bayer Leverkusen Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

FC Koln
D D L W L
Bayer Leverkusen
L W L W W

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Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.