1
28%
Home Win
3.57
X
21%
Draw
4.66
2
51%
Away Win
1.98
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
2.03
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Koln an expected 1.5 goals and 1899 Hoffenheim an expected 2.0 goals. FC Koln have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and 1899 Hoffenheim at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.1%
1:1
9%
2:2
6.7%
2:1
6.6%
0:2
6.2%
1:3
6.2%
0:1
6.1%
2:3
4.5%
1:0
4.4%
0:3
4.2%
3:2
3.3%
2:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | 1899 Hoffenheim Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| FC Koln | 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 5 |
| 32 | Points | 61 |
| 21% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.91 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
FC Koln at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
1899 Hoffenheim Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Koln
L
L
1899 Hoffenheim
W
