1
31%
Home Win
3.27
X
25%
Draw
4.03
2
45%
Away Win
2.24
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
1.57
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Heidenheim an expected 1.3 goals and FSV Mainz 05 an expected 1.6 goals. FC Heidenheim have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and FSV Mainz 05 at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.7%
0:1
9.3%
1:2
9.2%
1:0
7.5%
2:1
7.3%
0:2
7.3%
0:0
5.9%
2:2
5.8%
1:3
4.8%
2:0
4.7%
0:3
3.8%
3:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FSV Mainz 05 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| FC Heidenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 10 |
| 26 | Points | 40 |
| 18% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 2.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
FC Heidenheim at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
FSV Mainz 05 Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
FC Heidenheim
W
FSV Mainz 05
W
W
D
L
