1
17%
Home Win
5.91
X
26%
Draw
3.91
2
57%
Away Win
1.74
xG Home
0.70
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Famalicao an expected 0.7 goals and Sporting CP an expected 1.5 goals. Famalicao have a 17% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sporting CP at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.4%
0:2
12.6%
1:1
11.5%
0:0
10.6%
1:2
8.8%
1:0
7.5%
0:3
6.5%
1:3
4.5%
2:1
4%
2:2
3.1%
2:0
2.6%
0:4
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sporting CP Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Famalicao | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 2 |
| 56 | Points | 82 |
| 44% | Win % | 74% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.62 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
Venue Form
Famalicao at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Sporting CP Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Famalicao
D
Sporting CP
W
D
