1
42%
Home Win
2.36
X
31%
Draw
3.22
2
27%
Away Win
3.76
xG Home
1.11
xG Away
0.81
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Famalicao an expected 1.1 goals and GIL Vicente an expected 0.8 goals. Famalicao have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and GIL Vicente at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.2%
0:0
14.6%
1:1
13.2%
0:1
11.9%
2:0
9%
2:1
7.3%
1:2
5.4%
0:2
4.8%
3:0
3.3%
2:2
3%
3:1
2.7%
1:3
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Famalicao Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Famalicao | GIL Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 6 |
| 56 | Points | 50 |
| 44% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Famalicao at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
GIL Vicente Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Famalicao
D
GIL Vicente
D
