1
55%
Home Win
1.81
X
25%
Draw
3.94
2
19%
Away Win
5.2
xG Home
1.57
xG Away
0.81
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Falkirk an expected 1.6 goals and St. Mirren an expected 0.8 goals. Falkirk have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and St. Mirren at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.6%
1:1
11.8%
2:0
11.4%
0:0
9.3%
2:1
9.2%
0:1
7.5%
3:0
6%
3:1
4.8%
1:2
4.7%
2:2
3.7%
0:2
3%
4:0
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Falkirk Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Falkirk | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 10 |
| 46 | Points | 30 |
| 39% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Falkirk at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
St. Mirren Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Falkirk
L
W
St. Mirren
D
W
L
