1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Excelsior an expected 1.4 goals and FC Volendam an expected 1.0 goals. Excelsior have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and FC Volendam at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.9%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
9.3%
0:1
9.2%
2:0
9%
2:1
8.9%
1:2
6.3%
0:2
4.5%
2:2
4.4%
3:0
4.2%
3:1
4.1%
1:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Excelsior Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Excelsior | FC Volendam | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 16 |
| 38 | Points | 32 |
| 29% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Excelsior at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
FC Volendam Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Excelsior
L
D
W
FC Volendam
D
W
