1
59%
Home Win
1.69
X
20%
Draw
4.9
2
20%
Away Win
4.89
xG Home
2.14
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Estoril an expected 2.1 goals and Rio Ave FC an expected 1.2 goals. Estoril have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Rio Ave FC at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.7%
1:1
9.1%
2:0
8.2%
1:0
7.6%
3:1
7%
3:0
5.8%
2:2
5.8%
1:2
5.4%
0:1
4.2%
3:2
4.1%
4:1
3.7%
0:0
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Estoril Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| Estoril | Rio Ave FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 12 |
| 39 | Points | 36 |
| 29% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Estoril at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Rio Ave FC Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Estoril
L
Rio Ave FC
L
