1
29%
Home Win
3.47
X
26%
Draw
3.79
2
45%
Away Win
2.23
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Estoril an expected 1.1 goals and Famalicao an expected 1.4 goals. Estoril have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Famalicao at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
0:1
11.5%
1:2
9%
1:0
8.8%
0:2
8.2%
0:0
8%
2:1
6.8%
2:2
4.9%
2:0
4.8%
1:3
4.3%
0:3
3.9%
3:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Famalicao Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Estoril | Famalicao | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 5 |
| 39 | Points | 56 |
| 29% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Estoril at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Famalicao Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Estoril
L
Famalicao
D
W
D