1
62%
Home Win
1.61
X
20%
Draw
4.99
2
18%
Away Win
5.64
xG Home
2.14
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Estoril an expected 2.1 goals and Casa Pia AC an expected 1.1 goals. Estoril have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Casa Pia AC at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.9%
2:0
9.4%
1:1
9.2%
1:0
8.7%
3:1
7.1%
3:0
6.7%
2:2
5.2%
1:2
4.9%
0:1
4.3%
0:0
4.1%
4:1
3.8%
3:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Estoril Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Estoril | Casa Pia AC | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 16 |
| 39 | Points | 30 |
| 29% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Estoril at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Casa Pia AC Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Estoril
D
L
Casa Pia AC
D
W
L
L
