1
42%
Home Win
2.36
X
26%
Draw
3.85
2
32%
Away Win
3.15
xG Home
1.43
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Espanyol an expected 1.4 goals and Sevilla FC an expected 1.2 goals. Espanyol have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sevilla FC at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
1:0
10.3%
2:1
8.8%
0:1
8.6%
1:2
7.4%
2:0
7.3%
0:0
7.2%
2:2
5.3%
0:2
5.2%
3:1
4.2%
3:0
3.5%
1:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Espanyol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Espanyol | Sevilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 13 |
| 46 | Points | 43 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Espanyol at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Sevilla FC Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Espanyol
W
L
D
L
Sevilla FC
W
L
L
W
