1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Espanyol an expected 1.5 goals and Real Sociedad an expected 1.5 goals. Espanyol have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Real Sociedad at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
8.1%
0:1
7.7%
1:0
7.2%
2:2
6.3%
0:2
5.9%
2:0
5.3%
0:0
5%
1:3
4.4%
3:1
4%
2:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Sociedad Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Espanyol | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 10 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
Venue Form
Espanyol at Home
W1
D2
L3
(6 games)
Real Sociedad Away
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Espanyol
L
D
W
L
D
Real Sociedad
W
W
D
L
D
Head to Head
Real Sociedad
2 : 2
Espanyol
D
Real Sociedad
2 : 1
Espanyol
L
Espanyol
0 : 1
Real Sociedad
W
