1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.05
xG Away
1.62
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Espanyol an expected 1.1 goals and Atlético Madrid an expected 1.6 goals. Espanyol have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Atlético Madrid at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
0:1
11.2%
1:2
9.5%
0:2
9.1%
1:0
7.3%
0:0
6.9%
2:1
6.2%
1:3
5.2%
2:2
5%
0:3
4.9%
2:0
3.8%
2:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atlético Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Espanyol | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 4 |
| 46 | Points | 69 |
| 32% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
Venue Form
Espanyol at Home
W1
D2
L3
(6 games)
Atlético Madrid Away
W3
D0
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Espanyol
L
D
W
L
D
Atlético Madrid
W
L
W
W
L
