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Elche vs Valencia — Prediction

Elche Elche
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Valencia Valencia

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Elche
  • Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche
  • Espanyol 1–3 Elche
  • Elche 2–3 Real Madrid
  • Athletic Club 1–1 Elche
  • Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad
Valencia
  • Valencia 1–2 Villarreal
  • Valencia 1–1 Real Sociedad
  • Alavés 0–1 Valencia
  • Sevilla FC 1–0 Valencia
  • Valencia 0–5 Barcelona
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Elche 10 · Valencia 10. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Elche 59% · 2026-10-31 10:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 61%
Home Win 1.64
X 23%
Draw 4.27
2 16%
Away Win 6.38
Model goal expectation · 1 1.72
Model goal expectation · 2 0.74
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 43%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Elche 1.72 · Valencia 0.74.
1 61% · X 23% · 2 16%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.7%
2:0 12.7%
1:1 10.9%
2:1 9.3%
0:0 8.6%
3:0 7.3%
0:1 6.3%
3:1 5.4%
1:2 4%
2:2 3.4%
4:0 3.1%
0:2 2.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Elche Win
Probability 61%
Predicted Odds 1.64

Team Comparison

Elche Valencia
16 League Position 19
10 Points 6
20% Win % 10%
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7

Venue Form

Elche at Home
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate
Valencia Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Elche
W W L D L
Valencia
L D W L L

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