1
40%
Home Win
2.52
X
23%
Draw
4.32
2
37%
Away Win
2.69
xG Home
1.66
xG Away
1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Elche an expected 1.7 goals and Real Sociedad an expected 1.6 goals. Elche have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Real Sociedad at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.2%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
8.2%
2:2
6.8%
1:0
6.4%
0:1
6.1%
2:0
5.3%
0:2
4.9%
3:1
4.7%
1:3
4.4%
0:0
3.8%
3:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Elche Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Elche | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 10 |
| 43 | Points | 46 |
| 26% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
Venue Form
Elche at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Real Sociedad Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Elche
D
W
W
Real Sociedad
D
L
D
