1
34%
Home Win
2.92
X
26%
Draw
3.92
2
40%
Away Win
2.48
xG Home
1.31
xG Away
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Elche an expected 1.3 goals and Celta de Vigo an expected 1.4 goals. Elche have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Celta de Vigo at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
0:1
9.3%
1:2
8.7%
1:0
8.4%
2:1
7.9%
0:2
6.7%
0:0
6.4%
2:2
5.7%
2:0
5.5%
1:3
4.2%
3:1
3.4%
0:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Celta de Vigo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Elche | Celta de Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 6 |
| 43 | Points | 54 |
| 26% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Elche at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Celta de Vigo Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Elche
L
D
W
W
Celta de Vigo
D
W
L
L
