1
72%
Home Win
1.39
X
19%
Draw
5.26
2
9%
Away Win
11.03
xG Home
2.00
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Barcelona an expected 2.0 goals and Getafe an expected 0.5 goals. Barcelona have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Getafe at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
15.6%
1:0
15.6%
3:0
10.4%
2:1
8.6%
1:1
8.6%
0:0
7.8%
3:1
5.7%
4:0
5.2%
0:1
4.3%
4:1
2.9%
2:2
2.4%
1:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Barcelona Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| Barcelona | Getafe | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 7 |
| 94 | Points | 51 |
| 82% | Win % | 39% |
| 2.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Barcelona at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Getafe Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Barcelona
W
W
Getafe
D
W
