Dundee Utd vs Livingston Prediction

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2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Tue, 12 May 2026 · Scottish Premiership
1 60%
Home Win 1.68
X 20%
Draw 4.93
2 20%
Away Win 5
xG Home 2.15
xG Away 1.17
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
BTTS 61%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Dundee Utd an expected 2.2 goals and Livingston an expected 1.2 goals. Dundee Utd have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Livingston at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9.8%
1:1 9.1%
2:0 8.3%
1:0 7.7%
3:1 7%
3:0 6%
2:2 5.7%
1:2 5.3%
0:1 4.2%
3:2 4.1%
4:1 3.8%
0:0 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Dundee Utd Win
Probability 60%
Predicted Odds 1.67
Market Odds 1.77

Team Comparison

Dundee Utd Livingston
7 League Position 12
40 Points 16
27% Win % 3%
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 2

Venue Form

Dundee Utd at Home
W1 D3 L1 (5 games)
20% win rate
Livingston Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Dundee Utd
D D D W L
Livingston
D L W