Dundee Utd vs Falkirk Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · Scottish Premiership
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.57
xG Away 1.51
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 62%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Dundee Utd an expected 1.6 goals and Falkirk an expected 1.5 goals. Dundee Utd have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Falkirk at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.9%
2:1 8.5%
1:2 8.2%
1:0 7.2%
0:1 7%
2:2 6.4%
2:0 5.7%
0:2 5.3%
0:0 4.6%
3:1 4.5%
1:3 4.1%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Dundee Utd Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56
Market Odds 2.73

Team Comparison

Dundee Utd Falkirk
7 League Position 6
40 Points 46
27% Win % 39%
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45

Venue Form

Dundee Utd at Home
W2 D3 L1 (6 games)
33% win rate
Falkirk Away
W0 D2 L2 (4 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Dundee Utd
W D D D W
Falkirk
D D L L