Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.88
xG Away 1.52
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
BTTS 66%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Dinamo Moscow an expected 1.9 goals and Spartak Moscow an expected 1.5 goals. Dinamo Moscow have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Spartak Moscow at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9.5%
2:1 9%
1:2 7.3%
2:2 6.8%
1:0 6.2%
2:0 5.9%
3:1 5.6%
0:1 5.1%
3:2 4.3%
0:2 3.9%
1:3 3.7%
3:0 3.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Dinamo Moscow Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Team Comparison

Dinamo Moscow Spartak Moscow
7 League Position 4
45 Points 52
40% Win % 50%
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3

Venue Form

Dinamo Moscow at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Spartak Moscow Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Dinamo Moscow
W
Spartak Moscow
L W