1
46%
Home Win
2.16
X
22%
Draw
4.49
2
31%
Away Win
3.18
xG Home
1.88
xG Away
1.52
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
66%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Dinamo Moscow an expected 1.9 goals and Spartak Moscow an expected 1.5 goals. Dinamo Moscow have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Spartak Moscow at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.5%
2:1
9%
1:2
7.3%
2:2
6.8%
1:0
6.2%
2:0
5.9%
3:1
5.6%
0:1
5.1%
3:2
4.3%
0:2
3.9%
1:3
3.7%
3:0
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dinamo Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Dinamo Moscow | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 4 |
| 45 | Points | 52 |
| 40% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
Venue Form
Spartak Moscow Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Spartak Moscow
W