Dinamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.59
xG Away 1.43
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
BTTS 61%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Dinamo Moscow an expected 1.6 goals and CSKA Moscow an expected 1.4 goals. Dinamo Moscow have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and CSKA Moscow at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.1%
2:1 8.8%
1:2 7.9%
1:0 7.8%
0:1 7%
2:2 6.3%
2:0 6.2%
0:2 5%
0:0 4.9%
3:1 4.7%
1:3 3.8%
3:2 3.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Dinamo Moscow Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38
Market Odds 2.53

Team Comparison

Dinamo Moscow CSKA Moscow
7 League Position 5
45 Points 51
40% Win % 50%
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1

Venue Form

Dinamo Moscow at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
CSKA Moscow Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Dinamo Moscow
W
CSKA Moscow
W