1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
1.72
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
68%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Dalian Zhixing an expected 1.8 goals and Shandong Taishan an expected 1.7 goals. Dalian Zhixing have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Shandong Taishan at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.3%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
8%
2:2
7.1%
1:0
5.4%
0:1
5.3%
3:1
4.8%
2:0
4.8%
1:3
4.6%
0:2
4.5%
3:2
4.2%
2:3
4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dalian Zhixing Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Dalian Zhixing | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 49 | Points | 44 |
| 52% | Win % | 52% |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Dalian Zhixing at Home
W4
D0
L2
(6 games)
Shandong Taishan Away
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Dalian Zhixing
W
W
W
W
L
Shandong Taishan
W
L
L
W
L
