1
39%
Home Win
2.55
X
21%
Draw
4.8
2
40%
Away Win
2.51
xG Home
1.97
xG Away
1.99
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS
74%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Dalian Zhixing an expected 2.0 goals and Shandong Taishan an expected 2.0 goals. Dalian Zhixing have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Shandong Taishan at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
7.5%
1:2
7.4%
2:1
7.4%
2:2
7.3%
1:3
4.9%
2:3
4.9%
3:1
4.8%
3:2
4.8%
0:1
3.8%
0:2
3.8%
1:0
3.8%
2:0
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Dalian Zhixing | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 28 | Points | 24 |
| 50% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.84 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
Venue Form
Dalian Zhixing at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Shandong Taishan Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Dalian Zhixing
W
W
L
L
Shandong Taishan
L
L
W
L
