1
38%
Home Win
2.62
X
23%
Draw
4.41
2
39%
Away Win
2.55
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
1.71
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Dalian Zhixing an expected 1.7 goals and Shandong Taishan an expected 1.7 goals. Dalian Zhixing have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Shandong Taishan at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.7%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
8.1%
2:2
7%
0:1
5.7%
1:0
5.7%
0:2
4.9%
2:0
4.8%
1:3
4.7%
3:1
4.6%
2:3
4%
3:2
3.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Dalian Zhixing | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 6 |
| 40 | Points | 37 |
| 46% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
Dalian Zhixing at Home
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Shandong Taishan Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Dalian Zhixing
W
W
W
L
L
Shandong Taishan
L
L
W
L