Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction

2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.33
xG Away 1.02
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
BTTS 58%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Dalian Zhixing an expected 2.3 goals and Qingdao Jonoon an expected 1.0 goals. Dalian Zhixing have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Qingdao Jonoon at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9.7%
2:0 9.5%
1:1 8.3%
1:0 8.2%
3:1 7.5%
3:0 7.4%
2:2 5%
4:1 4.4%
4:0 4.3%
1:2 4.3%
3:2 3.9%
0:1 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Dalian Zhixing Win
Probability 66%
Predicted Odds 1.52
Market Odds 1.61

Team Comparison

Dalian Zhixing Qingdao Jonoon
2 League Position 16
49 Points 14
52% Win % 21%
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14

Venue Form

Dalian Zhixing at Home
W4 D0 L2 (6 games)
67% win rate
Qingdao Jonoon Away
W0 D0 L6 (6 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Dalian Zhixing
W W W W L
Qingdao Jonoon
L L L L L