Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Pohang Steelers Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 · K League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.64
xG Away 0.83
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
BTTS 46%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Daejeon Hana Citizen an expected 1.6 goals and Pohang Steelers an expected 0.8 goals. Daejeon Hana Citizen have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Pohang Steelers at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.8%
1:1 11.5%
2:0 11.3%
2:1 9.4%
0:0 8.4%
0:1 7.1%
3:0 6.2%
3:1 5.2%
1:2 4.8%
2:2 3.9%
0:2 2.9%
4:0 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Daejeon Hana Citizen Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79
Market Odds 1.9

Team Comparison

Daejeon Hana Citizen Pohang Steelers
3 League Position 9
49 Points 42
39% Win % 33%
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18

Venue Form

Daejeon Hana Citizen at Home
W1 D3 L0 (4 games)
25% win rate
Pohang Steelers Away
W2 D2 L3 (7 games)
29% win rate

Recent Form

Daejeon Hana Citizen
D W D D
Pohang Steelers
D D L L L