CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction

2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.08
xG Away 0.94
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives CSKA Moscow an expected 2.1 goals and Krylya Sovetov an expected 0.9 goals. CSKA Moscow have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Krylya Sovetov at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 10.6%
1:0 10.2%
2:1 9.9%
1:1 9.5%
3:0 7.3%
3:1 6.9%
0:0 4.9%
2:2 4.6%
0:1 4.6%
1:2 4.5%
4:0 3.8%
4:1 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick CSKA Moscow Win
Probability 64%
Predicted Odds 1.56
Market Odds 1.66

Team Comparison

CSKA Moscow Krylya Sovetov
5 League Position 11
51 Points 32
50% Win % 27%
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67

Venue Form

CSKA Moscow at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Krylya Sovetov Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

CSKA Moscow
W
Krylya Sovetov
D