1
36%
Home Win
2.81
X
29%
Draw
3.51
2
36%
Away Win
2.79
xG Home
1.14
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Crystal Palace an expected 1.1 goals and Nottingham Forest an expected 1.1 goals. Crystal Palace have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Nottingham Forest at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
0:1
11.7%
1:0
11.6%
0:0
10.2%
1:2
7.6%
2:1
7.6%
0:2
6.7%
2:0
6.6%
2:2
4.3%
1:3
2.9%
3:1
2.9%
0:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Crystal Palace Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 36% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.78 |
| Market Odds | 2.96 |
Team Comparison
| Crystal Palace | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 16 |
| 45 | Points | 44 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Crystal Palace at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Nottingham Forest Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Crystal Palace
L
D
D
Nottingham Forest
W
W
W
