1
52%
Home Win
1.94
X
27%
Draw
3.64
2
21%
Away Win
4.77
xG Home
1.40
xG Away
0.78
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cremonese an expected 1.4 goals and Pisa an expected 0.8 goals. Cremonese have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Pisa at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.8%
1:1
12.4%
0:0
11.3%
2:0
11%
0:1
8.8%
2:1
8.7%
3:0
5.2%
1:2
4.8%
3:1
4%
0:2
3.5%
2:2
3.4%
4:0
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cremonese Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Cremonese | Pisa | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 20 |
| 34 | Points | 18 |
| 21% | Win % | 5% |
| 0.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.68 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.87 |
Venue Form
Cremonese at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Pisa Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Cremonese
W
L
D
Pisa
L
L
