Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 · Ekstraklasa
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.01
xG Away 1.23
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Cracovia Krakow an expected 1.0 goals and Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.2 goals. Cracovia Krakow have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Gornik Zabrze at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.2%
0:1 13.1%
1:0 10.8%
0:0 10.6%
1:2 8.1%
0:2 8%
2:1 6.7%
2:0 5.4%
2:2 4.1%
1:3 3.3%
0:3 3.3%
3:1 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Gornik Zabrze Win
Probability 41%
Predicted Odds 2.44
Market Odds 2.59

Team Comparison

Cracovia Krakow Gornik Zabrze
13 League Position 2
42 Points 56
26% Win % 47%
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Cracovia Krakow at Home
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate
Gornik Zabrze Away
W3 D1 L0 (4 games)
75% win rate

Recent Form

Cracovia Krakow
L D D
Gornik Zabrze
W W D W