1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Coritiba an expected 1.4 goals and Cruzeiro an expected 1.0 goals. Coritiba have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Cruzeiro at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
1:0
12.7%
0:1
9.4%
0:0
9.3%
2:1
8.7%
2:0
8.7%
1:2
6.5%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
4.4%
3:1
4%
3:0
3.9%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Coritiba Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Venue Form
Coritiba at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Cruzeiro Away
W5
D0
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
Coritiba
L
L
D
W
Cruzeiro
W
W
W
W
W
Head to Head
Cruzeiro
1 : 2
Coritiba
W
Coritiba
1 : 0
Cruzeiro
L
Cruzeiro
0 : 0
Coritiba
D
