1
72%
Home Win
1.39
X
20%
Draw
4.95
2
8%
Away Win
12.77
xG Home
1.84
xG Away
0.43
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
29%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Como an expected 1.8 goals and Parma an expected 0.4 goals. Como have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Parma at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19%
2:0
17.5%
3:0
10.8%
0:0
10.3%
1:1
8.2%
2:1
7.5%
4:0
5%
3:1
4.6%
0:1
4.4%
4:1
2.1%
1:2
1.7%
2:2
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Como Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Como | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 13 |
| 71 | Points | 45 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.74 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Como at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Parma Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Como
D
Parma
L
W
Head to Head
Parma
0 : 0
Como
D
Parma
0 : 1
Como
W
Como
1 : 1
Parma
D
