Club Tijuana vs León FC Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 25 Jul 2026 · Liga MX
1 56%
Home Win 1.79
X 24%
Draw 4.1
2 20%
Away Win 5.07
xG Home 1.66
xG Away 0.88
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Club Tijuana an expected 1.7 goals and León FC an expected 0.9 goals. Club Tijuana have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and León FC at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.2%
1:1 11.5%
2:0 10.9%
2:1 9.6%
0:0 7.9%
0:1 6.9%
3:0 6%
3:1 5.3%
1:2 5%
2:2 4.2%
0:2 3%
4:0 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Club Tijuana Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Club Tijuana León FC
9 League Position 10
23 Points 22
29% Win % 41%
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88

Venue Form

Club Tijuana at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
León FC Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Club Tijuana
W W
León FC
L L

Head to Head

15 Mar 2026 Liga MX
Leon 0 : 3 Club Tijuana
W
20 Sep 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana 5 : 0 Leon
L
02 Mar 2025 Liga MX
Leon 2 : 1 Club Tijuana
L