1
47%
Home Win
2.14
X
28%
Draw
3.53
2
25%
Away Win
4.01
xG Home
1.31
xG Away
0.88
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Club América an expected 1.3 goals and Monterrey an expected 0.9 goals. Club América have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Monterrey at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.7%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
11.2%
0:1
9.8%
2:0
9.7%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
5.6%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
4.2%
2:2
3.7%
3:1
3.7%
1:3
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Club América Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Club América | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 13 |
| 25 | Points | 18 |
| 41% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Club América at Home
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Monterrey Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Club América
D
D
L
W
L
Monterrey
L
L