Club América vs Monterrey Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · Liga MX
1 47%
Home Win 2.14
X 28%
Draw 3.53
2 25%
Away Win 4.01
xG Home 1.31
xG Away 0.88
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
BTTS 43%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Club América an expected 1.3 goals and Monterrey an expected 0.9 goals. Club América have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Monterrey at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.7%
1:1 12.9%
0:0 11.2%
0:1 9.8%
2:0 9.7%
2:1 8.4%
1:2 5.6%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
2:2 3.7%
3:1 3.7%
1:3 1.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Club América Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13
Market Odds 2.26

Team Comparison

Club América Monterrey
8 League Position 13
25 Points 18
41% Win % 29%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41

Venue Form

Club América at Home
W1 D2 L2 (5 games)
20% win rate
Monterrey Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Club América
D D L W L
Monterrey
L L