1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.50
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.5 goals and Beijing Guoan an expected 1.4 goals. Chengdu Rongcheng have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Beijing Guoan at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
2:1
8.7%
1:0
8.3%
1:2
8.1%
0:1
7.7%
2:0
6.2%
2:2
6.1%
0:0
5.5%
0:2
5.4%
3:1
4.3%
1:3
3.8%
3:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chengdu Rongcheng Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 52 | Points | 47 |
| 52% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Chengdu Rongcheng at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Beijing Guoan Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
L
W
Beijing Guoan
W
D
W
Head to Head
Beijing Guoan
1 : 2
Chengdu Better City
W
Chengdu Better City
2 : 0
Beijing Guoan
L
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1
Chengdu Better City
D
