1
60%
Home Win
1.66
X
22%
Draw
4.62
2
18%
Away Win
5.52
xG Home
1.94
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.9 goals and Beijing Guoan an expected 1.0 goals. Chengdu Rongcheng have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Beijing Guoan at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
10.7%
2:0
10.4%
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
6.7%
3:1
6.4%
0:0
5.5%
0:1
5.3%
1:2
4.9%
2:2
4.8%
4:0
3.2%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chengdu Rongcheng Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 7 |
| 43 | Points | 22 |
| 68% | Win % | 39% |
| 2.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Venue Form
Chengdu Rongcheng at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Beijing Guoan Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
W
Beijing Guoan
W
Head to Head
Beijing Guoan
1 : 2
Chengdu Better City
W
Chengdu Better City
2 : 0
Beijing Guoan
L
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1
Chengdu Better City
D
