1
48%
Home Win
2.1
X
24%
Draw
4.25
2
29%
Away Win
3.48
xG Home
1.74
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.7 goals and Beijing Guoan an expected 1.3 goals. Chengdu Rongcheng have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Beijing Guoan at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.3%
2:0
7.2%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.2%
2:2
6.1%
3:1
5.4%
0:0
4.8%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chengdu Rongcheng Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 52 | Points | 38 |
| 58% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
Venue Form
Chengdu Rongcheng at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Beijing Guoan Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
W
Beijing Guoan
D
W
Head to Head
Beijing Guoan
1 : 2
Chengdu Better City
W
Chengdu Better City
2 : 0
Beijing Guoan
L
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1
Chengdu Better City
D