1
53%
Home Win
1.9
X
22%
Draw
4.49
2
25%
Away Win
4.01
xG Home
1.91
xG Away
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.9 goals and Shimizu S-Pulse an expected 1.3 goals. Cerezo Osaka have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Shimizu S-Pulse at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.7%
1:0
8.1%
2:0
7.7%
1:2
6.3%
3:1
6.2%
2:2
6%
0:1
5.3%
3:0
4.9%
0:0
4.2%
3:2
3.8%
0:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cerezo Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Cerezo Osaka | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 14 |
| 52 | Points | 44 |
| 37% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Cerezo Osaka at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Shimizu S-Pulse Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Cerezo Osaka
D
W
W
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
W