1
27%
Home Win
3.75
X
23%
Draw
4.37
2
50%
Away Win
1.98
xG Home
1.27
xG Away
1.83
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.3 goals and Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.8 goals. Cerezo Osaka have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Kashiwa Reysol at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
1:2
9.6%
0:1
8.2%
0:2
7.5%
2:1
6.7%
2:2
6.1%
1:3
5.8%
1:0
5.7%
0:3
4.6%
0:0
4.5%
2:3
3.7%
2:0
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashiwa Reysol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Cerezo Osaka | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 2 |
| 52 | Points | 75 |
| 37% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
Venue Form
Cerezo Osaka at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Kashiwa Reysol Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Cerezo Osaka
D
W
W
Kashiwa Reysol
W
L
L
